Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
The Footlab AI model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Wolfsberger AC. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC?
Sturm Graz starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,094 vs 1,925).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sturm Graz
4-2-3-1- 14O. Diakité
- 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
- 19S. Seidl
- 43Jacob Peter Hödl
- 78V. Matoshi
- 39Luca Weinhandl
- 2J. Quarshie
- 23A. Malic
- 27L. Balbo
- 28J. Heil
- 53D. Khudyakov
Wolfsberger AC
3-4-2-1- 23P. Verhounig
- 36D. Fitz
- 34E. Agyemang
- 77R. Renner
- 17Marco Schabauer
- 10D. Avdijaj
- 20T. Schriebl
- 31F. Wohlmuth
- 30M. Sulzner
- 15Cheikh Mamadou Diabaté
- 1L. Gütlbauer
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Wolfsberger AC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | WSG Wattens(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ried(away) | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sturm Graz wins, 3 draws, 3 Wolfsberger AC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC 2-2 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sturm Graz 1-3 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| May 24, 2025 | Sturm Graz 1-1 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Wolfsberger AC 3-0 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Sturm Graz 0-3 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wolfsberger AC score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Wolfsberger AC | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sturm Graz sit 5th in Bundesliga (14 points from 8 matches) and Wolfsberger AC sit 12th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
A question about Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Wolfsberger AC.
- Where and when is Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC played?
- Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Merkur Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.