TSV Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)PROfertil ARENA, Hartberg
The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for TSV Hartberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate TSV Hartberg (1,944) and Rapid Vienna (2,022).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Hartberg have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Rapid Vienna have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Imst(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 8-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paide(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ried(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Paide(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 TSV Hartberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Rapid Vienna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 0-2 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | TSV Hartberg 2-2 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 1-1 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | TSV Hartberg 0-1 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TSV Hartberg 2-1 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Rapid Vienna 2-1 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TSV Hartberg score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rapid Vienna score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Hartberg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Rapid Vienna | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV Hartberg sit 10th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Rapid Vienna sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | TSV Hartberg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna?
- The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for TSV Hartberg.
- Where and when is TSV Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna played?
- TSV Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at PROfertil ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.