Austria Vienna vs SC Braga: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff roundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Generali Arena, Wien
The Footlab model makes SC Braga the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Austria Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Vienna vs SC Braga?
SC Braga starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (2,240 vs 2,007).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Vienna have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; SC Braga have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Vienna score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Braga score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| SC Braga | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Vienna vs SC Braga?
- The Footlab model makes SC Braga the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Austria Vienna.
- Where and when is Austria Vienna vs SC Braga played?
- Austria Vienna vs SC Braga is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Generali Arena, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.