Auto Esporte vs Santa Rita: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Leonardo Vinagre da Silveira, João Pessoa, Paraíba
The Footlab model makes Auto Esporte the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Santa Rita. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auto Esporte vs Santa Rita?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Auto Esporte (1,630) and Santa Rita (1,598).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auto Esporte have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Santa Rita have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Serra Branca(away) | 1-5 | Paraibano |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Nacional de Patos(away) | 1-3 | Paraibano |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Pombal EC(away) | 1-1 | Paraibano |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Picuiense(away) | 2-1 | Paraibano |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EC de Patos(home) | 2-3 | Paraibano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2020 | Puerto Quito(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Nov 8, 2020 | 9 de Octubre(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Nov 5, 2020 | Manta FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Duros del Balon(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Fuerza Amarilla(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Auto Esporte score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Rita score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auto Esporte | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Santa Rita | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auto Esporte vs Santa Rita?
- The Footlab model makes Auto Esporte the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Santa Rita.
- Where and when is Auto Esporte vs Santa Rita played?
- Auto Esporte vs Santa Rita is played on September 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Leonardo Vinagre da Silveira, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.