Cruzeiro PB vs São Paulo Crystal: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Barros Sobrinho, Itaporanga, Paraíba
The Footlab model makes Cruzeiro PB the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for São Paulo Crystal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cruzeiro PB vs São Paulo Crystal?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Cruzeiro PB (1,636) and São Paulo Crystal (1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro PB have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; São Paulo Crystal have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Confianca PB(home) | 2-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Confianca PB(away) | 0-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guarabira(home) | 2-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Queimadense(away) | 3-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Confianca PB(away) | 1-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Confianca PB(away) | 0-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Atlético Cajazeirense(home) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Serrano PB(home) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Spartax(away) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Sabugy(away) | 3-2 | Paraibano 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Cruzeiro PB win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 São Paulo Crystal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2025 | Cruzeiro PB 2-1 São Paulo Crystal | Paraibano 2 |
Last archived meeting: Cruzeiro PB vs São Paulo Crystal on Sep 3, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro PB score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; São Paulo Crystal score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro PB | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| São Paulo Crystal | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cruzeiro PB vs São Paulo Crystal?
- The Footlab model makes Cruzeiro PB the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for São Paulo Crystal.
- Where and when is Cruzeiro PB vs São Paulo Crystal played?
- Cruzeiro PB vs São Paulo Crystal is played on September 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Barros Sobrinho, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.