Spartax vs Serrano PB: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, João Pessoa, Paraíba
The Footlab model makes Spartax the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Serrano PB. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartax vs Serrano PB?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Spartax (1,545) and Serrano PB (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartax have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Serrano PB have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Serrano PB(away) | 1-5 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Sabugy(home) | 3-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | São Paulo Crystal(home) | 0-3 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Cruzeiro PB(away) | 0-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Queimadense(home) | 4-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Spartax(home) | 5-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | São Paulo Crystal(away) | 0-3 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 0-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Atlético Cajazeirense(home) | 3-3 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Guarabira(home) | 1-2 | Paraibano 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Spartax win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Serrano PB win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Serrano PB 5-1 Spartax | Paraibano 2 |
Last archived meeting: Serrano PB vs Spartax on Sep 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Spartax score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Serrano PB score 1.1 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartax | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Serrano PB | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartax vs Serrano PB?
- The Footlab model makes Spartax the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Serrano PB.
- Where and when is Spartax vs Serrano PB played?
- Spartax vs Serrano PB is played on September 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.