Aveley vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianMatchday 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aveley wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,292 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Burgess Hill Town?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Aveley (2,032) and Burgess Hill Town (2,006).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aveley vs Burgess Hill Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aveley
Not enough data to predict the Aveley lineup.
Burgess Hill Town
Not enough data to predict the Burgess Hill Town lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 2, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 4-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 27, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Aveley win, 2 draws, 2 Burgess Hill Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 1-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Burgess Hill Town 2-5 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Aveley 3-3 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Burgess Hill Town 2-0 Aveley | FA Trophy |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Burgess Hill Town 1-0 Aveley | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Burgess Hill Town | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (20 points from 16 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 13th (22 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Burgess Hill Town | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 28 | 22 |
| 15 | Aveley | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 20 |
A question about Aveley vs Burgess Hill Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Burgess Hill Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Burgess Hill Town played?
- Aveley vs Burgess Hill Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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