Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley played?

Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex

Burgess Hill Town

Aveley

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Burgess Hill Town (1,795) and Aveley (1,883).

Burgess Hill Town win26 %

Draw22 %

Aveley win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgess Hill Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cheshunt(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Leatherhead(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Whyteleafe(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Brentwood Town(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026	Dover(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Aveley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Three Bridges(away)	5-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Whitehawk(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Maldon & Tiptree(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026	Southend(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aveley win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 20, 2025	Burgess Hill Town 2-5 Aveley	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2025	Aveley 3-3 Burgess Hill Town	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Oct 28, 2017	Burgess Hill Town 2-0 Aveley	FA Trophy
Oct 18, 2014	Burgess Hill Town 1-0 Aveley	FA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Burgess Hill Town	1.6	1.7	2	8/15	10/15
Aveley	2.4	1.7	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Aveley	4	2	1	1	10	6	7
14	Burgess Hill Town	4	1	2	1	6	5	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?: The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Burgess Hill Town.
Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley played?: Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.