Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Park, London
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley?
Cray Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cray Wanderers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Wingate & Finchley have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cray Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wingate & Finchley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley 1-1 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Wingate & Finchley 1-2 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Cray Wanderers 3-2 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Cray Wanderers 4-1 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Wingate & Finchley 1-0 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Wingate & Finchley 0-1 Cray Wanderers | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Wingate & Finchley | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cray Wanderers sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Wingate & Finchley sit 16th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley?
- The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Wingate & Finchley.
- Where and when is Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley played?
- Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026DartfordvsThree Bridges
- Oct 24, 2026LeatherheadvsRamsgate
- Oct 24, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsAveley
- Oct 24, 2026WhitehawkvsWelling United
- Oct 24, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsBrentwood Town
- Oct 24, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 24, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsWhyteleafe
- Oct 24, 2026Enfield TownvsLewes