Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ReachTV Stadium, Eastbourne, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Eastbourne Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley?
Aveley starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastbourne Borough have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Eastbourne Borough win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Aveley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aveley 2-2 Eastbourne Borough | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Aveley 0-2 Eastbourne Borough | National League - South |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Eastbourne Borough 2-1 Aveley | National League - South |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Eastbourne Borough 1-2 Aveley | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Aveley 2-0 Eastbourne Borough | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastbourne Borough score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastbourne Borough | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastbourne Borough sit 7th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Eastbourne Borough.
- Where and when is Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley played?
- Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ReachTV Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026DartfordvsThree Bridges
- Oct 24, 2026LeatherheadvsRamsgate
- Oct 24, 2026WhitehawkvsWelling United
- Oct 24, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsBrentwood Town
- Oct 24, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 24, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsWhyteleafe
- Oct 24, 2026Cray WanderersvsWingate & Finchley
- Oct 24, 2026Enfield TownvsLewes