Avilés Stadium vs Ceares: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Muro de Zaro, Avilés
The Footlab model makes Avilés Stadium the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Ceares. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avilés Stadium vs Ceares?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Avilés Stadium (1,647) and Ceares (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avilés Stadium have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ceares have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Titánico(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Siero(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Navarro(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lenense(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avilés Stadium win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ceares win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Ceares 0-2 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Avilés Stadium 0-0 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Ceares 1-1 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Avilés Stadium 3-2 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Ceares 2-1 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Avilés Stadium 1-1 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ceares vs Avilés Stadium on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avilés Stadium score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ceares score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avilés Stadium | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Ceares | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avilés Stadium sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (33 points from 34 matches) and Ceares sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ceares | 34 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 40 | 45 |
| 13 | Avilés Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avilés Stadium vs Ceares?
- The Footlab model makes Avilés Stadium the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Ceares.
- Where and when is Avilés Stadium vs Ceares played?
- Avilés Stadium vs Ceares is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Muro de Zaro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.