Langreo vs Astur: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal, La Felguera, Langreo
The Footlab model makes Langreo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Astur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Langreo vs Astur?
Langreo starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,744).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Langreo have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Astur have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Llanes(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Valladolid(home) | 1-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Promesas EDF(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Langreo score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Astur score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langreo | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Astur | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Langreo vs Astur?
- The Footlab model makes Langreo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Astur.
- Where and when is Langreo vs Astur played?
- Langreo vs Astur is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.