Avilés Stadium vs Langreo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Muro de Zaro, Avilés
The Footlab AI model makes Langreo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Avilés Stadium. The most likely score is 1-1. If Langreo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avilés Stadium vs Langreo?
Langreo starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,573).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avilés Stadium vs Langreo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avilés Stadium
Not enough data to predict the Avilés Stadium lineup.
Langreo
4-3-3- 9Miguel Guerrero
- 11Omar
- 4L. Lopez
- 14A. R. Reyes
- 6L. Suarez
- 22Pablo Pérez
- 8Sergio Orviz
- 5D. Amez
- 2G. Zapico
- 15D. Ojeda
- 1A. Torre
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avilés Stadium have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Langreo have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Avilés Stadium score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Langreo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avilés Stadium | 0.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Langreo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avilés Stadium sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Langreo sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Avilés Stadium vs Langreo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avilés Stadium vs Langreo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Langreo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Avilés Stadium.
- Where and when is Avilés Stadium vs Langreo played?
- Avilés Stadium vs Langreo is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Muro de Zaro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.