Ceares vs Gijón Industrial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Cruz, Gijón
The Footlab model makes Ceares the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceares vs Gijón Industrial?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Ceares (1,711) and Gijón Industrial (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceares have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Gijón Industrial have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Siero(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Navarro(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lenense(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 6-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siero(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ceares win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gijón Industrial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gijón Industrial 2-1 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Ceares 1-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Gijón Industrial 1-5 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Ceares 2-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Ceares 1-1 Gijón Industrial | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Gijón Industrial 1-2 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gijón Industrial vs Ceares on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ceares score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gijón Industrial score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceares | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gijón Industrial | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceares sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Gijón Industrial sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ceares | 34 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 40 | 45 |
| 14 | Gijón Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 57 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceares vs Gijón Industrial?
- The Footlab model makes Ceares the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Ceares vs Gijón Industrial played?
- Ceares vs Gijón Industrial is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Cruz, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.