L'Entregu vs San Martín: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Nalón, El Entrego
The Footlab model makes L'Entregu the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for San Martín. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Entregu vs San Martín?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate L'Entregu (1,751) and San Martín (1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Entregu have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; San Martín have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lenense(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Colunga(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mosconia(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 L'Entregu win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Martín win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Martín 1-0 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | L'Entregu 1-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | San Martín 0-0 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | L'Entregu 3-2 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 12, 2022 | L'Entregu 0-2 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2021 | San Martín 0-0 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: San Martín vs L'Entregu on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
L'Entregu score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Martín score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Entregu | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| San Martín | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Entregu sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (49 points from 34 matches) and San Martín sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | San Martín | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 51 |
| 7 | L'Entregu | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 42 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Entregu vs San Martín?
- The Footlab model makes L'Entregu the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for San Martín.
- Where and when is L'Entregu vs San Martín played?
- L'Entregu vs San Martín is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Nalón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.