Dinan Léhon vs Saint-Malo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Clos Gastel, Dinan
The Footlab model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Dinan Léhon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinan Léhon vs Saint-Malo?
Saint-Malo starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinan Léhon have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Saint-Malo have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 6-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Montlouis(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dinan Léhon win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Saint-Malo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Malo 2-1 Dinan Léhon | National 2 - Group A |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Dinan Léhon 1-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Dinan Léhon 2-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group B |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Saint-Malo 3-0 Dinan Léhon | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Dinan Léhon 2-0 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Saint-Malo 1-2 Dinan Léhon | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Saint-Malo vs Dinan Léhon on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinan Léhon score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Malo score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinan Léhon | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Saint-Malo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinan Léhon sit 15th in National 2 - Group B (0 points from 1 matches) and Saint-Malo sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Saint-Malo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Dinan Léhon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinan Léhon vs Saint-Malo?
- The Footlab model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Dinan Léhon.
- Where and when is Dinan Léhon vs Saint-Malo played?
- Dinan Léhon vs Saint-Malo is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Clos Gastel, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.