Châteaubriant vs Lorient II: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Ville en Bois, Châteaubriant
The Footlab AI model makes Lorient II the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorient II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Châteaubriant vs Lorient II?
Lorient II starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,670).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Châteaubriant vs Lorient II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Châteaubriant
Not enough data to predict the Châteaubriant lineup.
Lorient II
Not enough data to predict the Lorient II lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Châteaubriant have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Lorient II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tarbes(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Châteaubriant wins, 3 draws, 0 Lorient II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lorient II 0-2 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Châteaubriant 2-1 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Châteaubriant 2-2 Lorient II | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Lorient II 1-1 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Lorient II 0-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Châteaubriant 2-0 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Lorient II vs Châteaubriant on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Châteaubriant score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lorient II score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Châteaubriant | 0.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Lorient II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Châteaubriant sit 15th in National 2 - Group B (3 points from 6 matches) and Lorient II sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lorient II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Châteaubriant | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
A question about Châteaubriant vs Lorient II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Châteaubriant vs Lorient II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorient II the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Châteaubriant vs Lorient II played?
- Châteaubriant vs Lorient II is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Ville en Bois, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.