Châteaubriant vs Lorient II: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Ville en Bois, Châteaubriant
The Footlab model makes Lorient II the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Châteaubriant vs Lorient II?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Châteaubriant (1,634) and Lorient II (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Châteaubriant have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Lorient II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Montlouis(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Poitiers(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Châteaubriant win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Lorient II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lorient II 0-2 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Châteaubriant 2-1 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Châteaubriant 2-2 Lorient II | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Lorient II 1-1 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Lorient II 0-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Châteaubriant 2-0 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Lorient II vs Châteaubriant on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Châteaubriant score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lorient II score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Châteaubriant | 0.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Lorient II | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Châteaubriant sit 16th in National 2 - Group B (0 points from 1 matches) and Lorient II sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lorient II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Châteaubriant | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Châteaubriant vs Lorient II?
- The Footlab model makes Lorient II the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Châteaubriant vs Lorient II played?
- Châteaubriant vs Lorient II is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Ville en Bois, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.