Avro vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avro vs AFC Emley?
Avro starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; AFC Emley have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Avro win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 AFC Emley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2023 | AFC Emley 0-0 Avro | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| AFC Emley | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avro sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Northern (12 points from 5 matches) and AFC Emley sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Emley | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avro vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is Avro vs AFC Emley played?
- Avro vs AFC Emley is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Guiseley AFCvsBamber Bridge
- Nov 14, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsLancaster City
- Nov 14, 2026Hyde UnitedvsWorkington
- Nov 14, 2026Curzon AshtonvsQuorn
- Nov 14, 2026Ilkeston TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Nov 14, 2026Leek TownvsAlfreton Town
- Nov 14, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsStockton Town
- Nov 14, 2026Ashton UnitedvsBury