Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs AFC Emley played?

Ilkeston Town vs AFC Emley is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ilkeston Town vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire

Ilkeston Town

AFC Emley

The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ilkeston Town vs AFC Emley?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Ilkeston Town (1,727) and AFC Emley (1,720).

Ilkeston Town win41 %

Draw28 %

AFC Emley win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Emley have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ilkeston Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(home)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Warrington Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Whitby Town(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Stockton Town(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern

AFC Emley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ashton United(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Leek Town(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026	Curzon Ashton(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Ilkeston Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Hyde United(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ilkeston Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 AFC Emley win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	AFC Emley 1-2 Ilkeston Town	Non League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: AFC Emley vs Ilkeston Town on Aug 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ilkeston Town score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ilkeston Town	1.3	1.2	4	7/15	7/15
AFC Emley	1.4	1.1	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ilkeston Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 5 matches) and AFC Emley sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	AFC Emley	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
13	Ilkeston Town	5	2	0	3	4	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs AFC Emley?: The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for AFC Emley.
Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs AFC Emley played?: Ilkeston Town vs AFC Emley is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.