AVS vs Academica: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for AVS. The most likely score is 1-1. If Academica wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AVS vs Academica?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate AVS (1,995) and Academica (2,022).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AVS vs Academica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AVS
4-3-3- 9Rodrigo Pinho
- 30Talles Wander
- 10Keita
- 70Roni
- 78Andrey
- 80Hiago Santos
- 97Matheus Pivô
- 88F. Almeida
- 3L. Rosić
- 12L. Rivas
- 1Dani Rebollo
Academica
4-3-3- 19Afonso Rodrigues
- 8K. Zohi
- 10I. Faure
- 20J. Sinisterra
- 25L. Pierre
- 92A. Coundoul
- 5Leandro Silva
- 3Ricardo Teixeira
- 2Xavi
- 22Hélder Lopes
- 12Victor Braga
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AVS have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Academica have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sintrense(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Farense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real(away) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
AVS score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Academica | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AVS sit 12th in Segunda Liga (9 points from 7 matches) and Academica sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about AVS vs Academica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AVS vs Academica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for AVS.
- Where and when is AVS vs Academica played?
- AVS vs Academica is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.