Felgueiras 1932 vs União de Leiria: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
The Footlab model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for União de Leiria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs União de Leiria?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Felgueiras 1932 (1,932) and União de Leiria (1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Felgueiras 1932 have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; União de Leiria have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | AVS(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 4-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Felgueiras 1932 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 União de Leiria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932 2-1 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | União de Leiria 2-3 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Felgueiras 1932 2-2 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 11, 2024 | União de Leiria 1-3 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Felgueiras 1932 0-0 União de Leiria | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2023 | Felgueiras 1932 0-2 União de Leiria | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Felgueiras 1932 vs União de Leiria on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Felgueiras 1932 score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; União de Leiria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| União de Leiria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Felgueiras 1932 sit 11th in Segunda Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and União de Leiria sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | União de Leiria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Felgueiras 1932 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Felgueiras 1932 vs União de Leiria?
- The Footlab model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for União de Leiria.
- Where and when is Felgueiras 1932 vs União de Leiria played?
- Felgueiras 1932 vs União de Leiria is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.