Farense vs Leixoes: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Lúis, Faro
The Footlab model makes Farense the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Leixoes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farense vs Leixoes?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Farense (1,944) and Leixoes (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leixoes have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 6-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Farense win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Leixoes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Farense 1-2 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Leixoes 0-2 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Farense 1-0 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Leixoes 3-1 Farense | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Leixoes 0-1 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 17, 2022 | Farense 0-1 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Farense score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leixoes score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 1.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Leixoes | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farense sit 2nd in Segunda Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and Leixoes sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Farense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farense vs Leixoes?
- The Footlab model makes Farense the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Leixoes.
- Where and when is Farense vs Leixoes played?
- Farense vs Leixoes is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Lúis, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.