Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 30Kick-off on May 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hawassa Stadium, Hawassa
The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Awassa Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Welayta Dicha wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,203 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Awassa Kenema (1,528) and Welayta Dicha (1,568).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Awassa Kenema
4-3-3- 9G. Kebede
- 11T. Hefamo
- 20S. Gacho
- 18S. Bekele
- 8B. Yared
- 18D. Taddese
- 2A. Demissie
- 12B. Tadele
- 6W. Maereg
- 4S. Wodessa
- 22S. Habtamu
Welayta Dicha
4-3-3- 10C. Damtew
- 19Y. Darza
- 11A. Aliso
- 8A. Kidane
- 16T. Taffese
- 14M. Nicole
- 44N. Nasaro
- 27Yonatan Elias
- 5K. Kebede
- 26Wubshet Kifle
- 1B. Genetu
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Awassa Kenema have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Welayta Dicha have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gamo Chencha(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Awassa Kenema wins, 2 draws, 0 Welayta Dicha wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Welayta Dicha 1-1 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Awassa Kenema 2-1 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Awassa Kenema 1-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Welayta Dicha 1-1 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Awassa Kenema 2-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2024 | Welayta Dicha 1-2 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Welayta Dicha vs Awassa Kenema on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Awassa Kenema score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Welayta Dicha score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awassa Kenema | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Welayta Dicha | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Awassa Kenema sit 11th in Premier League (5 points from 4 matches) and Welayta Dicha sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welayta Dicha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Awassa Kenema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
A question about Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Awassa Kenema.
- Where and when is Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha played?
- Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha is played on May 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hawassa Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 5, 2027Adama KenemavsEthiopian Medhin
- May 5, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsBahardar
- May 5, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsFasil Ketema
- May 5, 2027Sidama BunnavsHadiya Hosaena
- May 5, 2027Mebrat HaylvsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- May 5, 2027Sheger KetemavsMekelakeya
- May 5, 2027Negelle ArsivsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- May 5, 2027Gamo ChenchavsHalaba Ketema