Gamo Chencha vs Halaba Ketema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Gamo Chencha the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Halaba Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Gamo Chencha wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Halaba Ketema?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Gamo Chencha (1,448) and Halaba Ketema (1,464).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gamo Chencha vs Halaba Ketema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Halaba Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Halaba Ketema lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 11:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Gamo Chencha have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Halaba Ketema have 1, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gamo Chencha score 0.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 3; Halaba Ketema score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamo Chencha | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0/3 | 0/3 |
| Halaba Ketema | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gamo Chencha sit 17th in Premier League (1 point from 3 matches) and Halaba Ketema sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Halaba Ketema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Gamo Chencha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Gamo Chencha vs Halaba Ketema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gamo Chencha vs Halaba Ketema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gamo Chencha the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Halaba Ketema.
- Where and when is Gamo Chencha vs Halaba Ketema played?
- Gamo Chencha vs Halaba Ketema is played on May 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 5, 2027Adama KenemavsEthiopian Medhin
- May 5, 2027Awassa KenemavsWelayta Dicha
- May 5, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsBahardar
- May 5, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsFasil Ketema
- May 5, 2027Sidama BunnavsHadiya Hosaena
- May 5, 2027Mebrat HaylvsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- May 5, 2027Sheger KetemavsMekelakeya
- May 5, 2027Negelle ArsivsEthiopia Nigd Bank