Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Ethiopia Bunna. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,005 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Ethiopia Bunna (1,526) and Bahardar (1,563).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ethiopia Bunna
Not enough data to predict the Ethiopia Bunna lineup.
Bahardar
Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia Bunna have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ethiopia Bunna wins, 2 draws, 2 Bahardar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna 2-0 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Bahardar 0-0 Ethiopia Bunna | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Bahardar 2-0 Ethiopia Bunna | Premier League |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Ethiopia Bunna 3-1 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Bahardar 3-1 Ethiopia Bunna | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Ethiopia Bunna 2-2 Bahardar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia Bunna score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia Bunna | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Bahardar | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th in Premier League (4 points from 5 matches) and Bahardar sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bahardar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Ethiopia Bunna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Ethiopia Bunna.
- Where and when is Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar played?
- Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar is played on May 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 5, 2027Adama KenemavsEthiopian Medhin
- May 5, 2027Awassa KenemavsWelayta Dicha
- May 5, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsFasil Ketema
- May 5, 2027Sidama BunnavsHadiya Hosaena
- May 5, 2027Mebrat HaylvsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- May 5, 2027Sheger KetemavsMekelakeya
- May 5, 2027Negelle ArsivsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- May 5, 2027Gamo ChenchavsHalaba Ketema