Axiopolis vs Sporting Lieşti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ideal Cernavodă, Cernavodă
The Footlab AI model makes Axiopolis the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Lieşti. The most likely score is 1-1. If Axiopolis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Axiopolis vs Sporting Lieşti?
On Elo ratings, Axiopolis has 1,492 points and Sporting Lieşti 1,636.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Axiopolis vs Sporting Lieşti
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Axiopolis
4-3-3- AAlexandru Grigoraş
- 77Nicolae Alexandru Moise
- MMarius Fotescu
- AAndrei Apostolache
- VV. Carabuz
- FF. Dane
- AAlexandru Paul Sabangeanu
- 23Iulian Carabela
- VVlad Florin Suciu
- FFlorin George Pîrîu
- AAdrian Sabin Stănciulescu
Sporting Lieşti
4-3-3- 9Viorel Costea
- 7Valentin Munteanu
- 99Petrisor Voinea
- 6Bogdan Crihana
- 5Daniel Munchiu
- 11Alexandru Stan
- 77Claudiu Maftei
- 19Tudor Nastase
- 18S. Podasca
- 15P. Popa
- 1Giulio Munteanu
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Axiopolis have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting Lieşti have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(home) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 3-5 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 6-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 5-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Axiopolis score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Lieşti score 2.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axiopolis | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Sporting Lieşti | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Axiopolis sit 4th in Liga III - Serie 4 (13 points from 7 matches) and Sporting Lieşti sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Axiopolis | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Axiopolis vs Sporting Lieşti?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Axiopolis vs Sporting Lieşti?
- The Footlab AI model makes Axiopolis the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Lieşti.
- Where and when is Axiopolis vs Sporting Lieşti played?
- Axiopolis vs Sporting Lieşti is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ideal Cernavodă, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.