Match

Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta: prediction and stats

Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Fundulea

Progresul FunduleaPortul Constanta

The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Portul Constanta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Fundulea wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta?

Progresul Fundulea starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,445).

56%22%22%
Progresul Fundulea winDrawPortul Constanta win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Progresul Fundulea

Not enough data to predict the Progresul Fundulea lineup.

Portul Constanta

Not enough data to predict the Portul Constanta lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Fundulea have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Portul Constanta have 1, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progresul Fundulea
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Sporting Lieşti(away)2-0Liga III - Serie 4
Oct 3, 2026Gloria Băneasa(home)2-1Liga III - Serie 4
Sep 26, 2026Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away)1-2Liga III - Serie 4
Sep 23, 2026Axiopolis(home)4-0Liga III - Serie 4
Sep 19, 2026Unirea Braniştea(away)2-4Liga III - Serie 4
Portul Constanta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Agricola Borcea(home)0-8Liga III - Serie 4
Oct 2, 2026FC Oţelul II(away)1-2Liga III - Serie 4
Sep 26, 2026Dunarea Calarasi(home)1-2Liga III - Serie 4
Sep 23, 2026Înainte Modelu(away)3-4Liga III - Serie 4
Sep 19, 2026Agigea(home)0-1Liga III - Serie 4

How many goals should we expect?

Progresul Fundulea score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portul Constanta score 1.4 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Progresul Fundulea2.61.359/1511/15
Portul Constanta1.43.314/87/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Progresul Fundulea sit 8th in Liga III - Serie 4 (9 points from 6 matches) and Portul Constanta sit 11th (3 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Progresul Fundulea630314119
11Portul Constanta710611183

A question about Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta?
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Portul Constanta.
Where and when is Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta played?
Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Progresul Fundulea and Portul Constanta

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