Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Ayr Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Raith Rovers wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Ayr Utd (1,752) and Raith Rovers (1,829).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 11R. Taylor
- 6R. Lyon
- 33S. McMann
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
Raith Rovers
4-2-3-1- 9G. Oakley
- 15S. Tiffoney
- 25K. Montagu
- 7A. Lyall
- 20S. Brown
- 11J. Robertson
- 2J. Rowe
- 3Z. Delaney
- 6J. Baird
- 5C. Fordyce
- 1J. Rae
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Raith Rovers have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ayr Utd wins, 0 draws, 4 Raith Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raith Rovers 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Raith Rovers 3-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Raith Rovers 0-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Raith Rovers 1-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Raith Rovers score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Raith Rovers | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 7th in Championship (12 points from 10 matches) and Raith Rovers sit 2nd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Ayr Utd.
- Where and when is Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers played?
- Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Somerset Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.