Falkirk vs Ayr Utd: result 2-1 and analysis
FA CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 13, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Falkirk Community Stadium, Falkirk
Full time
What was the result of Falkirk vs Ayr Utd?
Falkirk won 2-1 on March 13, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 12′D. AkinyemiAyr Utd
- 66′C. MorrisonFalkirk (pen.)
- 83′K. KennedyFalkirk
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Falkirk have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ayr Utd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | Dunfermline(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Peterhead(home) | 5-0 | League One |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Airdrie United(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Feb 13, 2023 | Darvel(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | Morton(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Partick(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Elgin City(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Falkirk win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2021 | Ayr Utd 3-0 Falkirk | League Cup |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Falkirk | League Cup |
| Mar 8, 2019 | Falkirk 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Falkirk | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Falkirk 0-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Ayr Utd 3-2 Falkirk | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Falkirk score 2.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 2.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy