Ayr Utd vs Kelty Hearts: result 3-0 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 20, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Kelty Hearts?
Ayr Utd won 3-0 on January 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 62′Roy SylaAyr Utd
- 79′A. RoseAyr Utd
- 90′M. McKenzieAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Arbroath(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2024 | Morton(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Dunfermline(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Raith Rovers(away) | 4-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Cove Rangers(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Montrose(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Falkirk(away) | 1-2 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy