Ayr Utd vs Stranraer: result 4-1 and analysis
Challenge CupRound of 16Kick-off on January 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Stranraer?
Ayr Utd won 4-1 on January 13, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′C. MainAyr Utd
- 22′R. HughesStranraer
- 42′B. DempseyAyr Utd (pen.)
- 45′G. FinneyAyr Utd
- 71′D. ThomasAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Stranraer have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Morton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dunfermline(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2025 | ST Johnstone(home) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Peterhead(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Annan Athletic(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dumbarton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Elgin City(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ayr Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stranraer win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2023 | Ayr Utd 2-0 Stranraer | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Stranraer | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Stranraer | League Cup |
| Jul 27, 2019 | Ayr Utd 2-2 Stranraer | League Cup |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Stranraer | League One |
| Jan 2, 2018 | Stranraer 1-5 Ayr Utd | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stranraer score 2.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Stranraer | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy