Ayr Utd vs Partick: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
The Footlab AI model makes Partick the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Ayr Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Partick wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Partick?
Partick starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,867 vs 1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ayr Utd vs Partick
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 11R. Taylor
- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 6R. Lyon
- 33S. McMann
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 8L. King
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 1H. Stone
Partick
4-2-3-1- 9A. Samuel
- 8O. Smyth
- 7S. Drozd
- 26B. Stanway
- 10E. Henderson
- 6B. Dempsey
- 3P. Reading
- 24B. McPherson
- 22C. Loughrey
- 5L. Ashcroft
- 12L. McFarlane
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Partick have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ayr Utd wins, 2 draws, 4 Partick wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Partick 1-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Partick | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Partick 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Ayr Utd 0-0 Partick | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Partick 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Partick 2-0 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Partick score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Partick | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 6th in Championship (11 points from 9 matches) and Partick sit 3rd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Partick | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Ayr Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Ayr Utd vs Partick?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayr Utd vs Partick?
- The Footlab AI model makes Partick the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Ayr Utd.
- Where and when is Ayr Utd vs Partick played?
- Ayr Utd vs Partick is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Somerset Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.