Ayvalikgucu vs Balıkesirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, Ayvalık
The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Balıkesirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Balıkesirspor?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Ayvalikgucu (1,709) and Balıkesirspor (1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayvalikgucu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Balıkesirspor have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Karsiyaka(away) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ayvalikgucu win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Balıkesirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Balıkesirspor 1-2 Ayvalikgucu | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Ayvalikgucu 1-0 Balıkesirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Balıkesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayvalikgucu | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Balıkesirspor | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayvalikgucu vs Balıkesirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Balıkesirspor.
- Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Balıkesirspor played?
- Ayvalikgucu vs Balıkesirspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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