AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
The Footlab model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for GO Ahead Eagles. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles?
AZ Alkmaar starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,155 vs 1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have 8 wins, 7 draws and 0 defeats; GO Ahead Eagles have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 4-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Genk(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFI(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AZ Alkmaar win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 GO Ahead Eagles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles 0-0 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| May 4, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Apr 21, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 27, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| May 12, 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Alkmaar score 2.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; GO Ahead Eagles score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Alkmaar sit 1st in Eredivisie (6 points from 2 matches) and GO Ahead Eagles sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | GO Ahead Eagles | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles?
- The Footlab model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for GO Ahead Eagles.
- Where and when is AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles played?
- AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.