De Graafschap W vs Ajax W: prediction and stats
Eredivisie WomenRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ajax W the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for De Graafschap W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ajax W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap W vs Ajax W?
Ajax W is a heavy favourite: 1,937 Elo points against 1,606, a 330-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for De Graafschap W vs Ajax W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
De Graafschap W
Not enough data to predict the De Graafschap W lineup.
Ajax W
4-3-3- 9K. Snoeijs
- 26Xanne Kip
- 7R. Derks
- 8S. Spitse
- 19M. van Koppen
- 6N. Noordam
- 15E. Touon
- 5A. Knol
- 12J. van Hensbergen
- 4S. Kees
- 28F. Liefting
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap W have 3 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Ajax W have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | AZ W(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | PSV/Eindhoven W(away) | 0-4 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PEC Zwolle W(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 13, 2026 | ADO Den Haag W(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ajax W(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Feyenoord W(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Aktobe W(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ADO Den Haag W(home) | 7-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Aktobe W(home) | 8-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AZ W(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 De Graafschap W wins, 0 draws, 1 Ajax W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ajax W 1-0 De Graafschap W | Eredivisie Women |
Last archived meeting: Ajax W vs De Graafschap W on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap W score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 7; Ajax W score 2.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap W | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 3/7 | 5/7 |
| Ajax W | 2.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap W sit 5th in Eredivisie Women (9 points from 7 matches) and Ajax W sit 2nd (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ajax W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | De Graafschap W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
A question about De Graafschap W vs Ajax W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap W vs Ajax W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ajax W the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for De Graafschap W.
- Where and when is De Graafschap W vs Ajax W played?
- De Graafschap W vs Ajax W is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC), in the Eredivisie Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.