Azerbaijan vs Estonia: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro Championship - QualificationQualifying Round - 3Kick-off on June 17, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bank Respublika Arena, Masazyr (Masazir)
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What was the result of Azerbaijan vs Estonia?
Azerbaijan and Estonia drew 1-1 on June 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 27′R. SappinenEstonia
- 62′A. KrivotsyukAzerbaijan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azerbaijan have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Estonia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | Sweden(away) | 0-5 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Austria(away) | 1-4 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Moldova(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Kazakhstan(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | Austria(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 23, 2023 | Hungary(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 12, 2023 | Finland(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Iceland(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Lithuania(home) | 2-0 | Baltic Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Azerbaijan score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Estonia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azerbaijan sit 4th in Euro Championship - Qualification (7 points from 8 matches) and Estonia sit 5th (1 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy