Babrungas vs Atmosfera: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Plungė
The Footlab model makes Babrungas the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Atmosfera. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Babrungas vs Atmosfera?
Babrungas starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,556 vs 1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Babrungas have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Atmosfera have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 4-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ekranas(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hegelmann II(home) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Babrungas win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Atmosfera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Atmosfera 1-1 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Babrungas 3-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| May 17, 2025 | Atmosfera 1-1 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Babrungas 0-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Atmosfera 0-2 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Babrungas 7-1 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Atmosfera vs Babrungas on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Babrungas score 1.6 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atmosfera score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Babrungas | 1.6 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Atmosfera | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Babrungas sit 2nd in 1 Lyga (52 points from 21 matches) and Atmosfera sit 9th (26 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Babrungas | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 52 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Babrungas vs Atmosfera?
- The Footlab model makes Babrungas the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Atmosfera.
- Where and when is Babrungas vs Atmosfera played?
- Babrungas vs Atmosfera is played on September 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.