Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Klaipėdos centrinio stadiono atsarginė aikštė, Klaipėda
The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Jonava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava?
Neptūną Klaipėda starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,462 vs 1,288).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neptūną Klaipėda have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Jonava have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BFA(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ekranas(home) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Neptūną Klaipėda win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Jonava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Jonava 0-1 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Jonava 0-2 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| May 3, 2025 | Neptūną Klaipėda 0-2 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Jonava 2-5 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Neptūną Klaipėda 2-0 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Neptūną Klaipėda 0-2 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Jonava vs Neptūną Klaipėda on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neptūną Klaipėda score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jonava score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neptūną Klaipėda | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Jonava | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neptūną Klaipėda sit 5th in 1 Lyga (38 points from 21 matches) and Jonava sit 10th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 38 |
| 10 | Jonava | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava?
- The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Jonava.
- Where and when is Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava played?
- Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Klaipėdos centrinio stadiono atsarginė aikštė, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.