Žalgiris II vs Babrungas: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Vilniaus LFF stadionas, Vilnius
The Footlab model makes Babrungas the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Žalgiris II. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žalgiris II vs Babrungas?
Babrungas starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,555 vs 1,324).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žalgiris II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Babrungas have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(away) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Minija(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 4-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ekranas(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Žalgiris II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Babrungas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Babrungas 3-0 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Babrungas 2-1 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Žalgiris II 2-2 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Žalgiris II 2-1 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 23, 2023 | Babrungas 2-0 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Babrungas 1-0 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Babrungas vs Žalgiris II on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Žalgiris II score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Babrungas score 1.6 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žalgiris II | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Babrungas | 1.6 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žalgiris II sit 8th in 1 Lyga (31 points from 20 matches) and Babrungas sit 2nd (52 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Babrungas | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 52 |
| 8 | Žalgiris II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žalgiris II vs Babrungas?
- The Footlab model makes Babrungas the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Žalgiris II.
- Where and when is Žalgiris II vs Babrungas played?
- Žalgiris II vs Babrungas is played on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Vilniaus LFF stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.