Backnang vs Bahlinger SC: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Etzwiesenstadion, Backnang
The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Bahlinger SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Backnang vs Bahlinger SC?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Backnang (1,768) and Bahlinger SC (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Backnang have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Bahlinger SC have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | Göppinger SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CFR Pforzheim(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Karlsruhe II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FV Ravensburg(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 16, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 2-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
How many goals should we expect?
Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bahlinger SC score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backnang | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bahlinger SC | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Backnang sit 1st in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (9 points from 3 matches) and Bahlinger SC sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Bahlinger SC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Backnang vs Bahlinger SC?
- The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Bahlinger SC.
- Where and when is Backnang vs Bahlinger SC played?
- Backnang vs Bahlinger SC is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Etzwiesenstadion, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 3, 2026Normannia GmündvsTSV Singen
- Oct 3, 2026OberachernvsFC Holzhausen
- Oct 3, 2026ReutlingenvsYoung Boys Reutlingen
- Oct 3, 2026TeningenvsFV Ravensburg
- Oct 3, 2026FC NöttingenvsTürkspor Neckarsulm
- Oct 4, 2026Karlsruhe IIvsBalingen
- Oct 4, 20261. FC MuhlhausenvsCFR Pforzheim