Backnang vs Essingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Etzwiesenstadion, Backnang
The Footlab AI model makes Backnang the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Essingen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Backnang wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Backnang vs Essingen?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Backnang (1,818) and Essingen (1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Backnang vs Essingen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Backnang
Not enough data to predict the Backnang lineup.
Essingen
Not enough data to predict the Essingen lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Backnang have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Essingen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Young Boys Reutlingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 11, 2026 | TSV Singen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Holzhausen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oberachern(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Normannia Gmünd(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC 08 Villingen(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Backnang wins, 0 draws, 6 Essingen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Essingen 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Backnang 2-3 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 16, 2025 | Backnang 1-2 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Essingen 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Essingen 5-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Backnang 0-3 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
How many goals should we expect?
Backnang score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Essingen score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backnang | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Essingen | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Backnang sit 2nd in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (21 points from 10 matches) and Essingen sit 15th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Backnang | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 21 |
| 15 | Essingen | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Backnang vs Essingen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Backnang vs Essingen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Backnang the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Essingen.
- Where and when is Backnang vs Essingen played?
- Backnang vs Essingen is played on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Etzwiesenstadion, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Normannia GmündvsTürkspor Neckarsulm
- May 1, 2027FC 08 VillingenvsCFR Pforzheim
- May 1, 2027Bahlinger SCvsBalingen
- May 1, 2027OberachernvsYoung Boys Reutlingen
- May 1, 2027ReutlingenvsFV Ravensburg
- May 1, 2027Teningenvs1. FC Muhlhausen
- May 1, 2027FC HolzhausenvsTSV Singen
- May 1, 2027FC NöttingenvsKarlsruhe II