Backnang vs Essingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Etzwiesenstadion, Backnang
The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Backnang. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Backnang vs Essingen?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Backnang (1,768) and Essingen (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Backnang have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Essingen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | Göppinger SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Türkspor Neckarsulm(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Young Boys Reutlingen(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Ansbach(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Backnang win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Essingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Essingen 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Backnang 2-3 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 16, 2025 | Backnang 1-2 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Essingen 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Essingen 5-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Backnang 0-3 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
How many goals should we expect?
Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backnang | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Essingen | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Backnang sit 1st in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (9 points from 3 matches) and Essingen sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Essingen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Backnang vs Essingen?
- The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Backnang.
- Where and when is Backnang vs Essingen played?
- Backnang vs Essingen is played on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Etzwiesenstadion, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Normannia GmündvsTürkspor Neckarsulm
- May 1, 2027FC 08 VillingenvsCFR Pforzheim
- May 1, 2027Bahlinger SCvsBalingen
- May 1, 2027OberachernvsYoung Boys Reutlingen
- May 1, 2027ReutlingenvsFV Ravensburg
- May 1, 2027Teningenvs1. FC Muhlhausen
- May 1, 2027FC HolzhausenvsTSV Singen
- May 1, 2027FC NöttingenvsKarlsruhe II