Match

Backnang vs Essingen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Etzwiesenstadion, Backnang

BacknangEssingen

The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Backnang. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Backnang vs Essingen?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Backnang (1,768) and Essingen (1,775).

Backnang win38 %
Draw23 %
Essingen win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Backnang have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Essingen have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Backnang
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026FC Nöttingen(home)2-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 15, 2026Teningen(away)4-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 8, 20261. FC Muhlhausen(home)5-0Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
May 30, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-4Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
May 23, 2026Göppinger SV(home)1-0Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Essingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Türkspor Neckarsulm(home)1-2Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 15, 2026Balingen(home)3-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 8, 2026Young Boys Reutlingen(away)1-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Jul 12, 2026Ansbach(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 4, 2026Memmingen(away)5-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Backnang win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Essingen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Essingen 2-1 BacknangOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Sep 27, 2025Backnang 2-3 EssingenOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
May 16, 2025Backnang 1-2 EssingenOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Nov 2, 2024Essingen 2-1 BacknangOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Apr 20, 2024Essingen 5-1 BacknangOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Oct 3, 2023Backnang 0-3 EssingenOberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Last archived meeting: Essingen vs Backnang on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Backnang1.81.5310/1511/15
Essingen1.81.9212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Backnang sit 1st in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (9 points from 3 matches) and Essingen sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Backnang33001129
7Essingen3111544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Backnang vs Essingen?
The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Backnang.
Where and when is Backnang vs Essingen played?
Backnang vs Essingen is played on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Etzwiesenstadion, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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