Match

Antoniano vs Badajoz: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, Lebrija

AntonianoBadajoz

The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Antoniano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Antoniano vs Badajoz?

Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,879).

Antoniano win34 %
Draw30 %
Badajoz win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antoniano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Badajoz have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Antoniano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Real Jaén(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Recreativo Huelva(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026Málaga II(away)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Yeclano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Badajoz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Cuarte(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Cuarte(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Moralo(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026Moralo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026Jaraíz(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

How many goals should we expect?

Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Antoniano1.01.347/155/15
Badajoz2.50.786/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Antoniano3412814384044

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Antoniano vs Badajoz?
The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Antoniano.
Where and when is Antoniano vs Badajoz played?
Antoniano vs Badajoz is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Antoniano and Badajoz

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