Match

Xerez vs Linares Deportivo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

XerezLinares Deportivo

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 48%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Linares Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Linares Deportivo?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Xerez (1,930) and Linares Deportivo (1,881).

Xerez win48 %
Draw31 %
Linares Deportivo win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Linares Deportivo have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Portuense(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Conquense(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Conquense(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Ucam Murcia(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Xerez Deportivo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Linares Deportivo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Dos Hermanas(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Melilla(away)4-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026Estepona(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Xerez Deportivo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Xerez win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Linares Deportivo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Xerez 1-1 Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 2, 2025Linares Deportivo 2-2 XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
May 4, 2025Xerez 2-0 Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 21, 2024Linares Deportivo 0-2 XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Linares Deportivo on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Linares Deportivo score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Xerez0.70.584/152/15
Linares Deportivo1.21.349/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Xerez sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (59 points from 34 matches) and Linares Deportivo sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Xerez341789322459
8Linares Deportivo3411149424547

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Linares Deportivo?
The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 48%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Linares Deportivo.
Where and when is Xerez vs Linares Deportivo played?
Xerez vs Linares Deportivo is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Xerez and Linares Deportivo

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