Where and when is Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas played?

Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz

Badajoz

Mijas Las Lagunas

The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Mijas Las Lagunas. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas?

Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,869).

Badajoz win56 %

Draw26 %

Mijas Las Lagunas win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Mijas Las Lagunas have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Badajoz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Cuarte(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Cuarte(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Moralo(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026	Moralo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026	Jaraíz(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Mijas Las Lagunas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Granada II(away)	4-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Huétor Vega(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Tájar(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	UD Melilla II(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

How many goals should we expect?

Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mijas Las Lagunas score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Badajoz	2.5	0.7	8	6/15	10/15
Mijas Las Lagunas	1.3	0.8	7	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas?: The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Mijas Las Lagunas.
Where and when is Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas played?: Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.