Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Mijas Las Lagunas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
On Elo ratings, Badajoz has 1,963 points and Mijas Las Lagunas 1,868.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Mijas Las Lagunas
Not enough data to predict the Mijas Las Lagunas lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Mijas Las Lagunas have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mijas Las Lagunas score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Mijas Las Lagunas | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badajoz sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (17 points from 10 matches) and Mijas Las Lagunas sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Badajoz | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 15 |
A question about Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Mijas Las Lagunas.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas played?
- Badajoz vs Mijas Las Lagunas is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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