Baden vs Widnau: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 3Group 3 - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Esp, Fislisbach
The Footlab AI model makes Baden the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Widnau. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baden vs Widnau?
On Elo ratings, Baden has 1,535 points and Widnau 1,437.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baden vs Widnau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baden
4-3-3- 26G. Furrer
- 27D. Giampà
- 44M. Hanke
- 10R. Laski
- 23M. Spielmann
- 6S. Cirelli
- 13J. Fontana
- 2T. Pachonik
- 4P. Muff
- 43F. Gloor
- 18A. Mossi
Widnau
Not enough data to predict the Widnau lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baden have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Widnau have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gossau(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Taverne(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Locarno(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dietikon(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tuggen(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Eschen / Mauren(home) | 4-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gossau(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Freienbach(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Taverne(away) | 0-5 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Winterthur II(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Baden win, 0 draws, 1 Widnau win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Widnau 3-1 Baden | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Baden 3-1 Widnau | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Baden score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Widnau score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baden | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Widnau | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baden sit 5th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 (16 points from 9 matches) and Widnau sit 16th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baden | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 16 | Widnau | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Baden vs Widnau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baden vs Widnau?
- The Footlab AI model makes Baden the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Widnau.
- Where and when is Baden vs Widnau played?
- Baden vs Widnau is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Esp, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.