Thalwil vs Gossau: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 3Group 3 - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportplätze Brand II, Thalwil
The Footlab AI model makes Thalwil the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Gossau. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thalwil wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thalwil vs Gossau?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Thalwil (1,498) and Gossau (1,498).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thalwil vs Gossau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thalwil
Not enough data to predict the Thalwil lineup.
Gossau
Not enough data to predict the Gossau lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thalwil have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gossau have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Taverne(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Locarno(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dietikon(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tuggen(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Wettswil-Bonstetten(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baden(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Widnau(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Taverne(away) | 0-5 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Locarno(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dietikon(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Thalwil wins, 1 draw, 1 Gossau win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | Gossau 1-0 Thalwil | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Thalwil 3-2 Gossau | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Gossau 1-2 Thalwil | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Gossau 1-1 Thalwil | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thalwil score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gossau score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thalwil | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gossau | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thalwil sit 4th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 (16 points from 9 matches) and Gossau sit 9th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thalwil | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Gossau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Thalwil vs Gossau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thalwil vs Gossau?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thalwil the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Gossau.
- Where and when is Thalwil vs Gossau played?
- Thalwil vs Gossau is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplätze Brand II, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.