Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely): result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 20Kick-off on January 11, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
Baglan Dragons won 2-1 on January 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′?Baglan Dragons
- 16′159010Baglan Dragons
- 87′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 30, 2024 | llanelli AFC(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Trefelin(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Llantwit Major(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Newport City(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Bala Town(home) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Afan Lido(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Baglan Dragons win, 0 draws, 2 Caerau (Ely) wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons on Nov 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy