Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely): result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 20Kick-off on January 11, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
Baglan Dragons won 2-1 on January 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′?Baglan Dragons
- 16′159010Baglan Dragons
- 87′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 30, 2024 | llanelli AFC(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Trefelin(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Llantwit Major(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Newport City(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Bala Town(home) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Afan Lido(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Baglan Dragons win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons on Nov 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy