Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely): result 0-5 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
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What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
Caerau (Ely) won 0-5 on March 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 10′O. RedheadCaerau (Ely)
- 19′C. LewisCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 53′D. HywelCaerau (Ely)
- 57′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
- 77′D. HywelCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 3-4 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Baglan Dragons win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons on Sep 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2026Afan Lido0-4Cambrian & Clydach
- Mar 14, 2026Llantwit Major2-3Ammanford AFC
- Mar 14, 2026Cardiff Draconians2-3Carmarthen Town
- Mar 14, 2026Ynyshir Albions4-0Newport City
- Mar 14, 2026Treowen Stars2-2Pontypridd Town
- Mar 14, 2026Aberystwyth Town3-0Trethomas Bluebirds
- Mar 30, 2026Cwmbran Celtic1-8Trefelin