Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons: result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 17, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Caerau (Ely) won 2-1 on September 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 75′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 80′635589Baglan Dragons
- 84′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | Llantwit Major(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Newport City(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Caerau (Ely) win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Baglan Dragons win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons on Aug 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 11th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2025Ammanford AFC1-1Pontypridd Town
- Sep 26, 2025Cwmbran Celtic2-2Trethomas Bluebirds
- Sep 27, 2025Carmarthen Town1-0Newport City
- Sep 27, 2025Llantwit Major0-2Cardiff Draconians
- Sep 27, 2025Afan Lido0-1Aberystwyth Town
- Sep 27, 2025Ynyshir Albions0-5Trefelin
- Sep 27, 2025Treowen Stars0-5Caerau (Ely)
- Sep 27, 2025Baglan Dragons0-1Cambrian & Clydach