Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons: result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 17, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Caerau (Ely) won 2-1 on September 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 75′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 80′635589Baglan Dragons
- 84′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | Llantwit Major(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Newport City(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Caerau (Ely) wins, 0 draws, 2 Baglan Dragons wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons on Aug 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2025Ammanford AFC1-1Pontypridd Town
- Sep 26, 2025Cwmbran Celtic2-2Trethomas Bluebirds
- Sep 27, 2025Carmarthen Town1-0Newport City
- Sep 27, 2025Llantwit Major0-2Cardiff Draconians
- Sep 27, 2025Afan Lido0-1Aberystwyth Town
- Sep 27, 2025Ynyshir Albions0-5Trefelin
- Sep 27, 2025Treowen Stars0-5Caerau (Ely)
- Sep 27, 2025Baglan Dragons0-1Cambrian & Clydach