Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town: result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
Baglan Dragons and Carmarthen Town drew 1-1 on April 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′?Carmarthen Town
- 65′?Baglan Dragons
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Newport City(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Taffs Well(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Llantwit Major(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Newport City(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Taffs Well(away) | 7-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Baglan Dragons win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Carmarthen Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 3-2 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-2 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Carmarthen Town 0-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Baglan Dragons on Aug 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy