Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town: result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
Baglan Dragons and Carmarthen Town drew 1-1 on April 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′?Carmarthen Town
- 65′?Baglan Dragons
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Newport City(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Taffs Well(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Llantwit Major(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Newport City(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Taffs Well(away) | 7-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Baglan Dragons wins, 2 draws, 1 Carmarthen Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 3-2 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-2 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Carmarthen Town 0-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Baglan Dragons on Aug 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 6th in FAW Championship (17 points from 12 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 9th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
| 9 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 15 |
A question about Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy